Project: Validation of National Transport Model

Reference: H143

Last update: 14/08/2013 09:21:39


Primary aim is to examine the forecasting ability of the National Transport Model (NTM) and determine the potential for improvement.


The NTM informs policy decisions on managing congestion. This project will scrutinise the forecasting performance of the NTM by performing a series of "back-casts" to assess its ability to reproduce travel patterns from previous years. A report on the model's performance with recommendations for model enhancements will be produced.


Hugh Gunn
Hugh Gunn Associates, Weipoortsewg 69, Zoeterwoude, 2381 NG

Contract details

Cost to the Department: £131,455.00

Actual start date: 14 October 2004

Expected completion date: 31 December 2006