Project: Summer Placement 01 - Evaluation of Scenarios for Long Term Policy Objectives; Carbon, Lifestyles and Future Climates

Reference: STP 8/11/9 - C554C/01

Last update: 23/09/2003 08:53:22


The principal aims of this research are twofold:
1) Review the DETR's current use of scenarios relating to climate change policy formulation. This will include criteria for scenario selection, the types of scenarios already used, which elements are present 9such as projections of future climate, car usage, population growth, economic growth rates and prices of resources such as oil), what assumptions are made by the scenarios and their degree of importance in the policy process.
2) 2) To compliment and expand Aim (1), a comprehensive review of published scenarios will be undertaken.
The aims are to:
 select, in consultation with the DETR, published sets of scenarios which contain elements critical to climate change policy such as those listed under Aim (1). These will include sets of scenarios already used by DETR as well as additional publications.
 Review, summarise, evaluate and compare the selected sets of scenarios.
 Produce a guide for different groups who may want to use scenarios to aid their decision making (for example regional agencies, town and land use planners and regulatory authorities in the built environment).


The proposed research would analyse different scenarios available which have direct relevance to the objectives of key government policies addressing climate change.
The results will be disseminated through a summary report, website, conference presentation and journal articles.
The research is scheduled to begin at the end of June and the results to be disseminated at the end of August.


University of East Anglia
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ
01603 593908

Contract details

Cost to the Department: £0.00

Actual start date: 01 June 2001

Actual completion date: 14 February 2002


See DEFRA Website for publication
Author: See DEFRA Website for publication
Publication date: 13/02/2002
Source: DEFRA or University of East Anglia (Norwich) by Dr John Turnpenny

Summary of results

  1. When DETR split DEFRA took this work with them.

Departmental Assessment Status: Project complete prior to implementation of the Departmental Publication Scheme.