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DfT home Policy, guidance and research Aviation Air traffic forecasts

Air traffic forecasts for the United Kingdom 2000

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Table of contents

  • Chapter 1 - Introduction
  • Chapter 2 - Interpretation of Forecasts
  • Basis of forecasts
  • Capacity
  • Treatment of uncertainty
  • Market Maturity
  • Supply side factors
  • Air passenger demand 1995 and 1998
  • Chapter 3 - 2000 Forecasts ofAir Traffic Demand
  • Chapter 4 - International Air Traffic
  • Chapter 5 - Domestic Air T raffic
  • Chapter 6 - Scheduled Low CostAirline Traffic
  • Chapter 7 - Sensitivity T ests
  • Lowering medium term trend GDP growth
  • Market maturity
  • Introduction of an aviation fuel tax
  • Higher and lower fares growth
  • Increases in airport charges
  • Exchange Rates
  • Chapter 8 - Performance of Past Forecasts
  • Annex 1 - Methodology
  • Data Sources
  • Econometric analysis and forecasting procedure
  • Miscellaneous
  • Domestic traffic
  • Scheduled low cost airlines
  • Summary of differences between methodologies used in the 1997 and 2000 forecasts
  • Annex 2 - Assumptions
  • Economic Growth
  • Trade Volumes
  • Exchange Rates
  • Air fares
  • Forecast Ranges
  • Annex 3 - Summary of 2000Air Traffic Forecasts
  • Next

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