Passenger travel patterns - Forecast

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF2 (64 kb)

DfT’s base case forecast is for total (all modes) passenger kilometres to grow by c.0.7% p.a. until 2025. This is driven by c.0.4% p.a. growth in the number of journeys and c.0.3% p.a. growth in average trip length.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF5 (70 kb)

The DfT forecasts very little change in car’s overall modal share although a switch from car passengers to car drivers is forecast.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF7 (70 kb)

Rail passenger km are forecast to increase by 40-60% by 2027.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF9a (72 kb)

Long distance passenger km are forecast to increase faster than regional or London and SE routes.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF9b (76 kb)

The NMF off peak and NMF all day forecasts are towards the high end of the range.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF9c (77 kb)

The NMF forecasts for long distance services are close to historical growth rates until 2020.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF9d (75 kb)

The NMF forecasts for regional services are lower than the average post privatisation historical growth rate.

Published:

24 July 2007

Delivering a Sustainable Railway: Summary of Key Research and Analysis - TPF9e (71 kb)

Rail passenger km by service group (1995 - 2015).

Published:

24 July 2007